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Red70
728531.7
87998.0
606419.8
Blue36
855512.7
87850.5
80549.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions672004060801001207036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.71.2
31.232.4
Auto12.6
Teleop12.6
End6.5
red by 18.9
12.70.3
13.313.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End4.2
Second
19.81.2
17.819.0
Auto5.5
Teleop7.8
End6.5
red by 10.7
8054
#20
9.10.3
8.89.1
Auto4.4
Teleop1.3
End3.3
Third
8799
#14
8.01.2
7.68.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End0.7
red by 7.5
8785
#30
0.50.3
2.62.9
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed