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Red14
85578.2
64292.8
698910.0
Blue18
29055.7
722810.9
88613.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2622010304050601418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6989
#13
10.00.8
11.210.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End4.2
blue by 0.9
7228
#10
10.90.2
11.210.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.3
End5.3
Second
8557
#18
8.20.8
9.08.2
Auto1.8
Teleop2.9
End3.5
red by 2.5
2905
#25
5.70.2
6.25.9
Auto4.0
Teleop1.6
End0.2
Third
6429
#27
2.80.8
3.62.8
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
blue by 0.3
8861
#22
3.20.2
3.53.3
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed