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Red20
882812.5
81593.5
80347.1
Blue33
754412.6
60148.1
81668.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2828202224263032342033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.50.8
13.512.7
Auto7.0
Teleop5.2
End0.3
Level
12.60.5
12.112.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End4.5
Second
8034
#17
7.10.8
8.27.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 1.0
8166
#15
8.10.5
7.88.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Third
8159
#23
3.50.8
4.43.6
Auto2.0
Teleop1.5
End0.1
blue by 4.6
6014
#21
8.10.5
6.57.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed