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Red45
497210.8
606419.8
744415.5
Blue59
88812.7
826411.2
728531.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484402060804559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.3
19.018.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.8
End6.5
blue by 11.8
31.71.0
30.031.0
Auto12.6
Teleop12.6
End6.5
Second
7444
#11
15.50.3
14.714.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End7.8
red by 4.3
8264
#16
11.21.1
10.111.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End3.7
Third
4972
#24
10.80.3
11.010.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End3.3
red by 8.1
8881
#28
2.71.1
1.62.7
Auto0.6
Teleop1.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsMissed