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Red32
88624.0
41917.4
623215.4
Blue10
753616.1
84076.5
87831.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1723010203040503210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.40.8
10.711.5
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End10.0
blue by 0.7
16.11.2
11.19.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End8.7
Second
4191
#38
7.40.8
4.55.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End2.1
red by 0.8
8407
#29
6.51.2
6.95.7
Auto1.6
Teleop2.4
End2.5
Third
8862
#30
4.00.8
1.62.4
Auto0.7
Teleop1.6
End1.7
red by 2.4
8783
#43
1.61.2
3.01.8
Auto1.0
Teleop-0.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed