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Red23
74393.9
88633.4
85009.1
Blue11
74653.7
57733.1
70356.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231301030405060702311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8500
#11
9.10.6
8.57.9
Auto2.4
Teleop4.4
End2.2
red by 2.6
7035
#40
6.40.3
4.94.6
Auto1.5
Teleop3.4
End1.5
Second
7439
#31
3.90.6
6.35.7
Auto2.6
Teleop0.7
End0.6
red by 0.2
7465
#46
3.70.3
4.84.5
Auto1.6
Teleop1.5
End0.6
Third
8863
#36
3.40.6
5.75.1
Auto1.2
Teleop1.8
End0.4
red by 0.3
5773
#47
3.10.3
4.13.8
Auto0.9
Teleop2.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed