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Red156
409933.5
157760.6
441454.7
Blue117
12550.4
174114.3
97152.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164119100150200250156117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.2
60.460.6
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End13.0
red by 8.5
971
#2
52.00.2
52.152.0
Auto15.9
Teleop27.9
End8.3
Second
54.70.2
54.554.7
Auto12.8
Teleop34.7
End7.2
red by 4.3
125
#12
50.40.2
50.550.3
Auto12.2
Teleop27.9
End10.3
Third
4099
#34
33.50.2
33.433.5
Auto10.1
Teleop14.7
End8.8
red by 19.2
1741
#48
14.30.2
14.414.2
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End9.1