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Red148
409933.5
157760.6
441454.7
Blue124
97152.0
174114.3
12550.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165118100150200250148124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.0
60.660.6
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End13.0
red by 8.5
971
#2
52.00.1
52.052.0
Auto15.9
Teleop27.9
End8.3
Second
54.70.0
54.754.7
Auto12.8
Teleop34.7
End7.2
red by 4.3
125
#12
50.40.1
50.350.4
Auto12.2
Teleop27.9
End10.3
Third
4099
#34
33.50.0
33.533.5
Auto10.1
Teleop14.7
End8.8
red by 19.2
1741
#48
14.30.1
14.214.3
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End9.1