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Red103
634028.0
238328.7
233741.6
Blue83
665219.8
7040.6
382412.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1127205010015020010383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#25
41.60.1
42.041.9
Auto13.5
Teleop19.4
End8.7
red by 0.9
70
#7
40.60.4
39.640.1
Auto13.6
Teleop16.9
End10.1
Second
2383
#38
28.70.1
28.728.6
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End7.1
red by 8.9
6652
#58
19.80.4
20.120.5
Auto7.1
Teleop7.9
End4.9
Third
6340
#31
28.00.1
29.229.2
Auto7.3
Teleop10.3
End10.4
red by 16.0
3824
#71
12.00.4
12.913.4
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned62%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned49%Hangar oddsEarned