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Red60
598524.0
418832.1
853717.4
Blue152
494415.8
157760.6
461341.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7013505010015020025060152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#56
32.11.2
33.332.0
Auto9.7
Teleop16.7
End5.7
blue by 28.4
60.61.7
60.662.3
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End13.0
Second
5985
#70
24.01.2
23.222.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.3
End6.3
blue by 17.4
41.51.7
42.344.0
Auto7.0
Teleop23.0
End11.5
Third
8537
#59
17.41.2
17.816.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End3.4
red by 1.5
4944
#66
15.81.7
15.517.2
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
54%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed95%Hangar oddsEarned