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Red59
490535.3
494415.8
382412.0
Blue96
167128.2
707211.1
50340.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70820501001505996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4905
#15
35.31.3
36.635.3
Auto8.0
Teleop15.9
End11.4
blue by 5.1
503
#11
40.41.4
39.040.3
Auto13.8
Teleop17.7
End8.8
Second
4944
#66
15.81.3
17.215.8
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End6.5
blue by 12.4
1671
#54
28.21.4
26.828.2
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End8.2
Third
3824
#71
12.01.3
13.412.0
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End4.0
red by 0.9
7072
#49
11.11.4
9.711.1
Auto2.2
Teleop5.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsMissed95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned70%Hangar oddsEarned