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Red78
879313.3
366828.1
398626.7
Blue97
157760.6
38626.9
857411.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651150501001502007897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#42
28.10.2
27.928.0
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End10.1
blue by 32.5
60.60.6
62.361.7
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End13.0
Second
3986
#23
26.70.2
26.526.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End9.7
blue by 0.2
386
#27
26.90.6
27.526.9
Auto9.4
Teleop11.8
End5.8
Third
8793
#47
13.30.2
13.213.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End4.5
red by 1.8
8574
#62
11.50.6
12.111.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsMissed93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsEarned