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Red105
441454.7
365529.9
314232.7
Blue100
238328.7
222020.3
87639.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13690050150200105100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.71.4
57.355.9
Auto12.8
Teleop34.7
End7.2
red by 15.5
876
#24
39.20.1
41.942.0
Auto11.3
Teleop18.5
End9.4
Second
3142
#26
32.71.4
34.132.7
Auto9.0
Teleop14.3
End9.5
red by 4.0
2383
#38
28.70.1
28.628.7
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End7.1
Third
3655
#63
29.91.4
30.829.4
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End10.9
red by 9.6
2220
#51
20.30.1
20.220.3
Auto7.7
Teleop5.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned72%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned