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Red83
634028.0
408934.6
635812.5
Blue78
395213.6
393225.5
461118.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions925302040801001201401608378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4089
#45
34.61.2
38.237.0
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End5.5
red by 9.1
3932
#41
25.51.0
24.525.5
Auto7.4
Teleop5.1
End13.0
Second
6340
#31
28.01.2
29.228.0
Auto7.3
Teleop10.3
End10.4
red by 9.6
4611
#37
18.41.0
17.318.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End6.2
Third
6358
#67
12.51.2
13.712.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End3.7
blue by 1.1
3952
#74
13.61.0
12.613.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsMissed81%Hangar oddsEarned