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Red77
881810.4
238328.7
64931.7
Blue98
126132.9
379226.8
179220.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74790501001502007798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#20
31.70.2
32.832.9
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End7.8
blue by 1.2
1261
#29
32.90.8
33.534.3
Auto9.6
Teleop17.2
End6.2
Second
2383
#38
28.70.2
30.831.0
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End7.1
red by 1.9
3792
#28
26.80.8
25.126.0
Auto6.5
Teleop9.5
End10.7
Third
8818
#53
10.40.2
6.66.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 9.9
1792
#32
20.40.8
14.715.6
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
67%Cargo oddsEarned58%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsMissed73%Hangar oddsEarned