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Red115
314232.7
65868.3
517248.8
Blue140
540643.2
490535.3
139132.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93120050150200250300115140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#22
48.81.1
52.253.2
Auto13.3
Teleop30.0
End5.4
red by 5.6
43.20.7
43.644.3
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End9.3
Second
3142
#26
32.71.1
34.936.0
Auto9.0
Teleop14.3
End9.5
blue by 2.5
4905
#15
35.30.7
35.135.9
Auto8.0
Teleop15.9
End11.4
Third
6586
#75
8.31.1
3.74.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End2.9
blue by 23.9
1391
#50
32.20.7
30.631.3
Auto10.5
Teleop13.4
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsMissed94%Hangar oddsEarned