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Red37
529816.4
645317.6
548431.8
Blue73
630011.0
398626.7
461118.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions754902040601001201403773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#43
31.82.3
33.331.1
Auto8.6
Teleop14.9
End8.2
red by 5.1
3986
#23
26.71.3
24.325.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End9.7
Second
6453
#52
17.62.5
19.416.9
Auto5.6
Teleop4.1
End7.9
blue by 0.7
4611
#37
18.41.6
15.717.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End6.2
Third
5298
#72
16.42.3
14.111.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.7
End1.2
red by 5.5
6300
#44
11.01.3
9.210.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsMissed60%Hangar oddsEarned