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Red73
398626.7
494415.8
851621.8
Blue93
634028.0
546042.5
674916.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions601040501507393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3986
#23
26.70.8
25.626.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End9.7
blue by 15.8
42.50.2
42.742.5
Auto11.7
Teleop21.0
End9.7
Second
8516
#39
21.80.9
18.819.8
Auto5.8
Teleop8.3
End7.7
blue by 6.1
6340
#31
28.00.2
31.030.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.3
End10.4
Third
4944
#66
15.80.8
17.117.9
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End6.5
blue by 0.9
6749
#55
16.70.2
18.318.1
Auto4.8
Teleop2.3
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsEarned57%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned