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Red106
7040.6
461118.4
253936.8
Blue81
139132.2
167128.2
155511.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1076005015020010681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#7
40.60.2
40.740.9
Auto13.6
Teleop16.9
End10.1
red by 8.4
1391
#50
32.21.3
31.332.6
Auto10.5
Teleop13.4
End8.4
Second
2539
#14
36.80.2
36.436.6
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End12.0
red by 8.6
1671
#54
28.21.3
24.225.5
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End8.2
Third
4611
#37
18.40.3
17.317.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End6.2
red by 7.3
1555
#61
11.11.3
6.57.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
78%Cargo oddsEarned58%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned