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Red102
803333.3
400345.4
336021.8
Blue97
306139.9
382412.0
515227.7
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9781406012014016010297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#21
45.40.6
43.243.8
Auto14.7
Teleop25.4
End5.3
red by 5.5
3061
#35
39.91.2
36.237.5
Auto11.0
Teleop20.9
End8.0
Second
8033
#36
33.30.6
30.030.6
Auto10.0
Teleop20.4
End2.9
red by 5.5
5152
#33
27.71.2
28.930.1
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End10.9
Third
3360
#64
21.80.6
15.716.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.5
End7.0
red by 9.7
3824
#71
12.01.2
13.214.4
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned62%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed71%Hangar oddsEarned