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Red140
441454.7
461341.5
34137.1
Blue105
65868.3
881810.4
12550.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152520100200250140105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.70.4
55.555.9
Auto12.8
Teleop34.7
End7.2
red by 4.3
125
#12
50.42.4
49.451.8
Auto12.2
Teleop27.9
End10.3
Second
41.50.4
36.236.7
Auto7.0
Teleop23.0
End11.5
red by 31.0
8818
#53
10.42.4
7.69.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Third
341
#19
37.10.4
37.938.3
Auto8.6
Teleop17.7
End10.8
red by 28.8
6586
#75
8.32.4
4.56.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned68%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned42%Hangar oddsEarned