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Red48
174114.3
707211.1
314232.7
Blue80
800611.6
548431.8
395928.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577201001502002504880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3142
#26
32.70.5
36.536.0
Auto9.0
Teleop14.3
End9.5
red by 0.9
5484
#43
31.81.0
31.132.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.9
End8.2
Second
1741
#48
14.30.5
12.111.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End9.1
blue by 14.3
3959
#17
28.61.0
24.025.0
Auto6.6
Teleop17.3
End4.6
Third
7072
#49
11.10.5
6.66.0
Auto2.2
Teleop5.1
End3.9
blue by 0.5
8006
#46
11.61.0
10.311.3
Auto5.4
Teleop1.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsMissed60%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned52%Hangar oddsMissed