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Red71
140323.8
440020.0
490535.3
Blue103
379226.8
408934.6
853717.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90865060708010011012071103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4905
#15
35.30.9
35.935.0
Auto8.0
Teleop15.9
End11.4
red by 0.7
4089
#45
34.61.4
38.940.4
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End5.5
Second
1403
#30
23.80.9
26.825.9
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End8.7
blue by 3.0
3792
#28
26.81.4
26.427.8
Auto6.5
Teleop9.5
End10.7
Third
4400
#69
20.00.9
21.520.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.9
End2.8
red by 2.7
8537
#59
17.41.4
16.017.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
77%Cargo oddsEarned64%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned