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Red99
157760.6
802215.2
645317.6
Blue148
64931.7
3346.3
97152.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9113505015020099148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.5
58.559.0
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End13.0
red by 8.5
971
#2
52.01.8
45.947.6
Auto15.9
Teleop27.9
End8.3
Second
6453
#52
17.60.5
16.917.4
Auto5.6
Teleop4.1
End7.9
blue by 28.7
33
#10
46.31.8
43.245.0
Auto12.1
Teleop22.5
End11.7
Third
8022
#65
15.20.5
15.716.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End3.3
blue by 16.5
649
#20
31.71.8
32.234.0
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned