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Red52
374918.5
640115.4
473516.4
Blue90
635812.5
8533.5
665219.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517401001505290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3749
#60
18.50.1
19.719.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
blue by 14.9
85
#8
33.50.2
32.632.8
Auto10.1
Teleop18.6
End4.8
Second
4735
#40
16.40.1
15.315.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End5.9
blue by 3.5
6652
#58
19.80.2
19.019.2
Auto7.1
Teleop7.9
End4.9
Third
6401
#68
15.40.1
15.515.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End3.3
red by 2.9
6358
#67
12.50.2
15.315.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed64%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsEarned