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Red103
87639.2
395213.6
418832.1
Blue134
246843.2
233741.6
179220.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82103050150200103134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#24
39.21.3
35.436.6
Auto11.3
Teleop18.5
End9.4
blue by 4.0
43.22.4
34.937.3
Auto7.7
Teleop23.3
End12.2
Second
4188
#56
32.11.3
37.338.5
Auto9.7
Teleop16.7
End5.7
blue by 9.4
2337
#25
41.62.4
43.646.0
Auto13.5
Teleop19.4
End8.7
Third
3952
#74
13.61.3
7.48.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End7.8
blue by 6.7
1792
#32
20.42.4
15.918.3
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
78%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsMissed71%Hangar oddsEarned