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Red116
208013.2
7040.6
34137.1
Blue104
408934.6
314232.7
366828.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8811850100150200116104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#7
40.62.0
40.942.9
Auto13.6
Teleop16.9
End10.1
red by 6.0
4089
#45
34.60.2
40.440.2
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End5.5
Second
341
#19
37.12.0
38.340.3
Auto8.6
Teleop17.7
End10.8
red by 4.4
3142
#26
32.70.2
36.035.8
Auto9.0
Teleop14.3
End9.5
Third
2080
#57
13.22.0
6.98.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End4.6
blue by 14.9
3668
#42
28.10.2
30.230.0
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsEarned