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Red75
174114.3
139132.2
529816.4
Blue119
140323.8
97152.0
157760.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44157010020025075119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#50
32.21.3
32.633.9
Auto10.5
Teleop13.4
End8.4
blue by 28.3
60.60.9
59.058.1
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End13.0
Second
5298
#72
16.41.3
11.312.6
Auto3.6
Teleop11.7
End1.2
blue by 35.6
971
#2
52.00.9
47.646.7
Auto15.9
Teleop27.9
End8.3
Third
1741
#48
14.31.3
11.612.9
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End9.1
blue by 9.5
1403
#30
23.80.9
25.925.0
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned