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Red92
233741.6
205657.8
374918.5
Blue105
802215.2
490535.3
400345.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142955020092105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#16
57.82.6
61.358.7
Auto16.9
Teleop31.5
End9.3
red by 12.3
4003
#21
45.40.1
43.843.9
Auto14.7
Teleop25.4
End5.3
Second
2337
#25
41.62.6
46.043.4
Auto13.5
Teleop19.4
End8.7
red by 6.3
4905
#15
35.30.1
35.035.1
Auto8.0
Teleop15.9
End11.4
Third
3749
#60
18.52.6
19.817.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
red by 3.4
8022
#65
15.20.1
16.316.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsMissed64%Hangar oddsEarned