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Red73
179220.4
879313.3
317126.9
Blue56
635812.5
548431.8
494415.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587201001502007356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#18
26.90.9
25.426.2
Auto6.9
Teleop14.5
End5.6
blue by 4.9
5484
#43
31.80.9
32.031.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.9
End8.2
Second
1792
#32
20.40.9
18.319.2
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End5.2
red by 4.5
4944
#66
15.80.9
17.917.0
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End6.5
Third
8793
#47
13.30.9
12.413.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End4.5
red by 0.8
6358
#67
12.50.9
15.514.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned64%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned73%Hangar oddsEarned