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Red111
440020.0
87639.2
546042.5
Blue51
382412.0
374918.5
174114.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1143805010015020011151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.7
42.242.9
Auto11.7
Teleop21.0
End9.7
red by 23.9
3749
#60
18.50.1
18.919.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Second
876
#24
39.20.7
35.135.8
Auto11.3
Teleop18.5
End9.4
red by 25.0
1741
#48
14.30.1
12.512.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.9
End9.1
Third
4400
#69
20.00.7
19.820.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.9
End2.8
red by 8.0
3824
#71
12.00.1
13.613.7
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsEarned15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsEarned