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Red92
12550.4
674916.7
598524.0
Blue102
7040.6
306139.9
879313.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103925015092102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#12
50.40.5
52.151.5
Auto12.2
Teleop27.9
End10.3
red by 9.8
70
#7
40.60.1
40.740.8
Auto13.6
Teleop16.9
End10.1
Second
5985
#70
24.00.5
23.823.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.3
End6.3
blue by 15.8
3061
#35
39.90.1
36.436.5
Auto11.0
Teleop20.9
End8.0
Third
6749
#55
16.70.6
19.819.1
Auto4.8
Teleop2.3
End9.6
red by 3.4
8793
#47
13.30.1
10.911.0
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
51%Cargo oddsEarned75%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned75%Hangar oddsEarned