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Red88
140323.8
246843.2
802215.2
Blue63
365529.9
393225.5
857411.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82672040601001201408863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.9
33.934.8
Auto7.7
Teleop23.3
End12.2
red by 13.3
3655
#63
29.90.6
31.530.9
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End10.9
Second
1403
#30
23.80.9
26.727.6
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End8.7
blue by 1.8
3932
#41
25.50.6
21.320.6
Auto7.4
Teleop5.1
End13.0
Third
8022
#65
15.21.1
14.315.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End3.3
red by 3.7
8574
#62
11.50.6
11.811.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo oddsEarned54%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned