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Red62
393225.5
374918.5
494415.8
Blue76
38626.9
306139.9
548431.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5011701001506276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3932
#41
25.50.1
22.322.2
Auto7.4
Teleop5.1
End13.0
blue by 14.3
3061
#35
39.92.0
39.837.9
Auto11.0
Teleop20.9
End8.0
Second
3749
#60
18.50.1
17.817.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
blue by 13.2
5484
#43
31.82.0
31.629.7
Auto8.6
Teleop14.9
End8.2
Third
4944
#66
15.80.1
15.715.5
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End6.5
blue by 11.1
386
#27
26.92.0
29.827.8
Auto9.4
Teleop11.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsMissed90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsEarned78%Hangar oddsEarned