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Red120
490535.3
157760.6
395213.6
Blue94
222020.3
253936.8
409933.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1169040608010014016018012094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.61.0
59.760.7
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End13.0
red by 23.8
2539
#14
36.80.4
35.334.9
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End12.0
Second
4905
#15
35.31.0
35.636.6
Auto8.0
Teleop15.9
End11.4
red by 1.7
4099
#34
33.50.4
31.631.2
Auto10.1
Teleop14.7
End8.8
Third
3952
#74
13.61.0
9.810.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End7.8
blue by 6.7
2220
#51
20.30.4
20.520.1
Auto7.7
Teleop5.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned75%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned