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Red83
374918.5
139132.2
418832.1
Blue73
238328.7
208013.2
409933.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94710204060801201401608373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#50
32.20.4
33.833.4
Auto10.5
Teleop13.4
End8.4
blue by 1.3
4099
#34
33.50.0
31.231.2
Auto10.1
Teleop14.7
End8.8
Second
4188
#56
32.10.4
33.833.4
Auto9.7
Teleop16.7
End5.7
red by 3.4
2383
#38
28.70.0
28.928.9
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End7.1
Third
3749
#60
18.50.4
17.717.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End5.5
red by 5.3
2080
#57
13.20.0
9.59.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned72%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsMissed68%Hangar oddsEarned