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Red103
802215.2
540643.2
408934.6
Blue106
8533.5
546042.5
253936.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10711850150200103106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.1
45.645.6
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End9.3
red by 0.7
42.50.2
41.741.4
Auto11.7
Teleop21.0
End9.7
Second
4089
#45
34.60.1
41.841.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End5.5
blue by 2.2
2539
#14
36.80.2
34.934.7
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End12.0
Third
8022
#65
15.20.1
14.414.5
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End3.3
blue by 18.3
85
#8
33.50.2
33.132.8
Auto10.1
Teleop18.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsEarned