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Red95
517248.8
529816.4
379226.8
Blue69
395213.6
598524.0
382412.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108380501509569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#22
48.80.6
51.651.0
Auto13.3
Teleop30.0
End5.4
red by 24.8
5985
#70
24.01.4
21.823.2
Auto6.5
Teleop11.3
End6.3
Second
3792
#28
26.80.6
25.825.2
Auto6.5
Teleop9.5
End10.7
red by 13.1
3952
#74
13.61.4
10.812.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End7.8
Third
5298
#72
16.40.6
14.714.1
Auto3.6
Teleop11.7
End1.2
red by 4.4
3824
#71
12.01.4
11.512.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsEarned