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Red71
246843.2
640115.4
38626.9
Blue81
317126.9
34137.1
515227.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891040501502007181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.9
40.940.0
Auto7.7
Teleop23.3
End12.2
red by 6.1
341
#19
37.11.2
38.737.4
Auto8.6
Teleop17.7
End10.8
Second
386
#27
26.90.9
28.327.3
Auto9.4
Teleop11.8
End5.8
blue by 0.8
5152
#33
27.71.2
29.127.9
Auto9.3
Teleop7.5
End10.9
Third
6401
#68
15.40.9
15.915.0
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End3.3
blue by 11.5
3171
#18
26.91.2
27.726.5
Auto6.9
Teleop14.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
74%Cargo oddsMissed87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned