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Red32
86255.0
348117.1
436414.3
Blue18
85077.1
84083.8
753410.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272301020304050603218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.10.2
9.59.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End4.8
red by 6.8
7534
#22
10.30.3
11.210.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End3.2
Second
14.30.2
10.410.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.6
red by 7.2
8507
#12
7.10.3
7.97.7
Auto3.2
Teleop0.7
End3.3
Third
8625
#14
5.00.2
4.85.0
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.6
red by 1.2
8408
#27
3.80.3
2.92.6
Auto0.7
Teleop1.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed