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Red20
858010.9
83697.1
85077.1
Blue45
58669.0
215826.7
83253.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2546010203040506070802045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8580
#25
10.90.4
10.410.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End2.1
blue by 15.7
26.70.3
28.028.3
Auto8.4
Teleop13.4
End4.9
Second
8369
#21
7.10.4
8.98.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.2
End2.3
blue by 1.9
9.00.3
7.47.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.6
End2.9
Third
8507
#12
7.10.4
7.26.7
Auto3.2
Teleop0.7
End3.3
red by 3.4
8325
#24
3.70.5
4.85.3
Auto1.3
Teleop0.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsEarned