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Red48
26139.4
85077.1
415318.4
Blue41
84083.8
436414.3
215826.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33480204060804841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.40.8
17.017.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End9.2
blue by 8.3
26.70.7
27.927.2
Auto8.4
Teleop13.4
End4.9
Second
2613
#11
9.40.8
8.99.8
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 4.9
14.30.7
13.012.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End5.6
Third
8507
#12
7.10.8
6.77.5
Auto3.2
Teleop0.7
End3.3
red by 3.3
8408
#27
3.80.7
2.41.8
Auto0.7
Teleop1.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsMissed