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Red58
637723.4
752118.2
35456.0
Blue28
367916.8
572614.7
857315.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4851204060801005828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#12
23.40.2
22.622.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End7.5
red by 6.6
3679
#10
16.80.4
16.916.5
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End5.6
Second
18.20.2
17.417.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End6.5
red by 2.8
8573
#18
15.40.5
15.515.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End6.1
Third
3545
#33
6.00.2
5.15.4
Auto3.5
Teleop-1.3
End3.8
blue by 8.7
14.70.4
14.814.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End4.2