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Red36
637723.4
752118.2
35456.0
Blue63
367916.8
572614.7
857315.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4949304060703663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#12
23.40.2
22.822.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End7.5
red by 6.6
3679
#10
16.80.2
16.516.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End5.6
Second
18.20.2
17.617.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End6.5
red by 2.8
8573
#18
15.40.2
15.115.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End6.1
Third
3545
#33
6.00.2
5.45.1
Auto3.5
Teleop-1.3
End3.8
blue by 8.7
14.70.2
14.414.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End4.2