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Red65
637723.4
752118.2
35456.0
Blue52
367916.8
572614.7
857315.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48500204060801006552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#12
23.40.4
22.623.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End7.5
red by 6.6
3679
#10
16.80.1
16.716.8
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End5.6
Second
18.20.4
17.417.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End6.5
red by 2.8
8573
#18
15.40.1
15.315.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End6.1
Third
3545
#33
6.00.5
5.15.6
Auto3.5
Teleop-1.3
End3.8
blue by 8.7
14.70.1
14.614.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.7
End4.2