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Red2
51039.4
81447.5
87509.4
Blue71
811417.0
288127.9
4578.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226204080100271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8750
#27
9.42.6
10.07.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.5
End3.3
blue by 18.5
27.91.2
28.930.1
Auto7.9
Teleop9.7
End10.3
Second
5103
#22
9.42.6
9.67.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.7
End3.1
blue by 7.6
17.01.2
12.113.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End10.3
Third
8144
#31
7.52.6
5.83.2
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End1.6
blue by 1.1
457
#11
8.62.0
11.713.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed72%Hangar oddsEarned