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Red29
557221.1
27897.7
35612.2
Blue45
268918.1
367916.8
77509.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423210205060702945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5572
#13
21.10.6
23.122.5
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End8.6
red by 3.0
18.10.9
13.114.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End3.5
Second
2789
#29
7.70.6
9.69.0
Auto3.6
Teleop1.6
End2.5
blue by 9.1
3679
#10
16.80.9
12.913.8
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End5.6
Third
3561
#32
2.21.0
5.64.6
Auto2.3
Teleop-1.2
End1.1
blue by 7.7
7750
#19
9.91.5
5.67.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsEarned