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Red17
541419.7
4186.9
74186.1
Blue49
817725.9
52618.4
59236.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402901020506070801749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.72.2
14.412.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End7.7
blue by 6.2
25.91.8
10.812.7
Auto5.6
Teleop9.3
End11.0
Second
418
#27
6.92.2
13.811.6
Auto1.9
Teleop2.2
End2.8
blue by 1.4
5261
#14
8.41.8
9.611.4
Auto0.8
Teleop3.5
End4.0
Third
7418
#30
6.12.2
8.26.1
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End0.8
blue by 0.1
5923
#31DQ
6.21.8
8.09.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsEarned