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Red41
83707.6
11843.2
71153.0
Blue0
582911.2
45974.5
43324.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3824010203050607080410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
43.20.8
18.619.4
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End12.6
red by 32.0
5829
#10
11.22.7
9.06.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.8
End3.1
Second
8370
#21
7.60.8
6.77.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End3.6
red by 3.2
4597
#32
4.52.7
7.44.6
Auto1.2
Teleop2.4
End0.9
Third
7115
#23
3.00.8
8.39.1
Auto0.1
Teleop0.9
End2.1
blue by 1.2
4332
#26
4.22.7
8.15.4
Auto1.9
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed