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Red39
589413.6
749215.9
52618.4
Blue12
73126.6
83707.6
81508.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3218010405060703912

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.91.2
8.910.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End4.9
red by 7.9
8150
#17
8.00.8
7.36.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.7
End1.4
Second
5894
#11
13.61.2
10.311.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End5.1
red by 5.9
8370
#21
7.60.8
6.86.1
Auto2.0
Teleop2.0
End3.6
Third
5261
#14
8.41.2
9.010.2
Auto0.8
Teleop3.5
End4.0
red by 1.8
7312
#24
6.60.8
4.73.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed